YEARLY HIGH
38.6069 UGX
YEARLY LOW
34.1798 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
36.8280 UGX

2025 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 38.6069. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 34.1798.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.4271 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 34.5855 to the December average rate of 37.9208, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 38.6069 was down 0.56% compared to the 2024 peak of 38.8249, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 193,034 UGX
2024 Average 184,168 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 170,899 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,135.59 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

38.3000
34.2479
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 36.2092, compared to 37.4468 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2377 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 36.2092
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.4468

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was April, with a trading range of 2.3979 UGX (High: 38.0650 / Low: 35.6671). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7740 UGX (High: 37.6909 / Low: 36.9170).

April Spread (Volatile) ±2.3979
September Spread (Stable) ±0.7740

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.7276 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7276

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2025: 37.9208) against the same month in 2024 (average: 34.8152), the exchange rate shifted by +3.1056 (+8.92%).

2025 Avg (December) 37.9208
2024 Avg (December) 34.8152

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 35.1800 34.1798 34.5855
February 34.9793 34.1870 34.6741
March 36.2942 34.6373 35.8486
April 38.0650 35.6671 37.1933
May 37.6733 36.6213 37.3353
June 38.2030 37.1057 37.6181
July 38.3950 37.2534 37.9623
August 37.8740 37.0323 37.5798
September 37.6909 36.9170 37.2850
October 37.0562 35.9769 36.5574
November 38.3262 36.2525 37.3757
December 38.6069 37.1847 37.9208