2014 CVE to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

33.0926 UGX

YEARLY LOW

30.2032 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

31.3951 UGX

2014 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 33.0926. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 3, dropping to 30.2032.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8893 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.9787 to the December average rate of 30.9916, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 33.0926 was up 0.52% compared to the 2013 peak of 32.9229, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 165,463 UGX

2013 Average 155,983 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 151,016 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,446.71 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

32.6575

30.5400

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.4909, compared to 31.2994 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1915 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.4909

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.2994

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 1.3358 UGX (High: 31.7598 / Low: 30.4240). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4747 UGX (High: 32.0668 / Low: 31.5921).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.3358

April Spread (Stable) ±0.4747

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.9723 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9723

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 32.4810) against the same month in 2013 (average: 30.6987), the exchange rate shifted by +1.7823 (+5.81%).

2014 Avg (July) 32.4810

2013 Avg (July) 30.6987

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	31.6288	30.4947	30.9787
February	31.7598	30.4240	30.7177
March	32.3459	31.3675	31.9180
April	32.0668	31.5921	31.7731
May	31.9865	31.4081	31.6564
June	32.3819	31.5306	31.9015
July	33.0926	31.9995	32.4810
August	32.0530	31.2283	31.6888
September	31.2695	30.4686	30.7165
October	31.3941	30.2032	30.8764
November	31.5479	30.4988	31.0420
December	31.5949	30.4967	30.9916