2026 CVE to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

39.8361 UGX

YEARLY LOW

36.6521 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

38.8267 UGX

2026 CVE to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the CVE to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 29, valuing the pair at 39.8361. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 36.6521.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1840 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.9236 to the December average rate of 39.1692, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.28% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 39.8361 was up 3.18% compared to the 2025 peak of 38.6069, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 199,181 UGX

2025 Average 184,199 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 183,261 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,919.92 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

39.9475

37.7396

JanuMarcMayJuly

CVE to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 38.8556, compared to 38.7398 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1159 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 38.8556

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.7398

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 2.2086 UGX (High: 38.8607 / Low: 36.6521). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 UGX (High: 39.1692 / Low: 39.1692).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.2086

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.9347 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9347

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 39.7635) against the same month in 2025 (average: 37.3353), the exchange rate shifted by +2.4281 (+6.50%).

2026 Avg (May) 39.7635

2025 Avg (May) 37.3353

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	38.8607	36.6521	37.9236
February	38.7429	37.9251	38.2133
March	39.6682	38.5798	39.0588
April	39.6477	38.9794	39.3459
May	39.8361	39.5693	39.7635
June	39.7770	37.8199	38.8288
July	38.9103	37.8484	38.3103
August	39.1692	39.1692	39.1692