YEARLY HIGH
189.8078 UGX
YEARLY LOW
136.7232 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
160.2849 UGX

2011 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 15, valuing the pair at 189.8078. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 136.7232.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 53.0846 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 183.0209 to the December average rate of 142.0995, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 189.8078 was down 7.28% compared to the 2010 peak of 204.7010, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 949,039 UGX
2010 Average 939,574 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 683,616 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 265,423.20 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

192.1268
137.3909
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 164.7958, compared to 155.7740 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 9.0218 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 164.7958
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 155.7740

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 47.6377 UGX (High: 186.4165 / Low: 138.7788). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5774 UGX (High: 142.5122 / Low: 140.9348).

April Spread (Volatile) ±47.6377
May Spread (Stable) ±1.5774

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 40.4635 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -40.4635

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2011: 187.5655) against the same month in 2010 (average: 186.5485), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0170 (+0.55%).

2011 Avg (March) 187.5655
2010 Avg (March) 186.5485

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 187.9606 179.4489 183.0209
February 186.9890 181.0064 184.0453
March 189.8078 185.4281 187.5655
April 186.4165 138.7788 147.1020
May 142.5122 140.9348 141.9523
June 157.9816 141.6311 145.0886
July 154.0488 149.5955 152.3971
August 165.7021 153.6203 161.6020
September 168.1692 162.5163 164.6917
October 168.5287 150.7859 163.6338
November 153.8203 145.5752 150.2199
December 148.0677 136.7232 142.0995