YEARLY HIGH
70.3149 UGX
YEARLY LOW
65.4400 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
68.0333 UGX

2023 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 29, valuing the pair at 70.3149. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 12, dropping to 65.4400.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8749 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 68.8300 to the December average rate of 67.3403, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 70.3149 was down 5.52% compared to the 2022 peak of 74.4269, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 351,574 UGX
2022 Average 355,200 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 327,200 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,374.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

69.7963
66.5009
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 68.7498, compared to 67.3167 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4331 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 68.7498
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 67.3167

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 2.4990 UGX (High: 67.9390 / Low: 65.4400). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7806 UGX (High: 67.9501 / Low: 67.1696).

August Spread (Volatile) ±2.4990
October Spread (Stable) ±0.7806

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.0980 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0980

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2023: 69.5217) against the same month in 2022 (average: 70.2260), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7043 (-1.00%).

2023 Avg (March) 69.5217
2022 Avg (March) 70.2260

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 69.5670 68.0647 68.8300
February 69.2747 68.0004 68.6462
March 70.3149 68.8372 69.5217
April 69.8893 68.4861 69.0912
May 69.5285 68.2157 68.5363
June 68.8117 66.8440 67.8736
July 67.6716 65.7984 66.7756
August 67.9390 65.4400 66.8250
September 68.2286 67.2992 67.7091
October 67.9501 67.1696 67.4824
November 68.3078 67.4143 67.7679
December 68.2933 66.8284 67.3403