YEARLY HIGH
74.4269 UGX
YEARLY LOW
67.8610 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
71.0289 UGX

2022 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 4, valuing the pair at 74.4269. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 67.8610.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.5659 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 71.1623 to the December average rate of 68.8744, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 74.4269 was down 21.26% compared to the 2021 peak of 94.5227, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 372,134 UGX
2021 Average 410,620 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 339,305 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 32,829.32 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

73.4307
68.4601
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 70.3963, compared to 71.6615 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2653 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 70.3963
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 71.6615

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 4.4741 UGX (High: 72.9386 / Low: 68.4644). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1409 UGX (High: 70.1540 / Low: 69.0131).

May Spread (Volatile) ±4.4741
February Spread (Stable) ±1.1409

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.7668 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.7668

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 73.0165) against the same month in 2021 (average: 78.4038), the exchange rate shifted by -5.3873 (-6.87%).

2022 Avg (August) 73.0165
2021 Avg (August) 78.4038

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 72.1408 70.3847 71.1623
February 70.1540 69.0131 69.6205
March 71.2411 68.9759 70.2260
April 70.1338 68.3182 68.9935
May 72.9386 68.4644 70.2565
June 73.3490 71.1211 72.1189
July 74.1278 71.2165 72.5348
August 74.4269 71.5379 73.0165
September 73.5723 71.7288 72.5459
October 73.2496 71.2086 72.3566
November 71.5544 69.9639 70.6411
December 69.9952 67.8610 68.8744