YEARLY HIGH
132.5968 UGX
YEARLY LOW
114.6500 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
126.9385 UGX

2019 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 132.5968. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 114.6500.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.9468 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 130.6181 to the December average rate of 116.7393, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 132.5968 was down 6.47% compared to the 2018 peak of 141.7711, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 662,984 UGX
2018 Average 673,422 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 573,250 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 89,733.79 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

132.0060
115.3514
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 129.7616, compared to 124.1154 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.6462 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 129.7616
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 124.1154

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 6.5133 UGX (High: 121.1633 / Low: 114.6500). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1801 UGX (High: 130.4242 / Low: 129.2441).

December Spread (Volatile) ±6.5133
March Spread (Stable) ±1.1801

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 6.8160 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.8160

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 130.6181) against the same month in 2018 (average: 132.5865), the exchange rate shifted by -1.9684 (-1.48%).

2019 Avg (January) 130.6181
2018 Avg (January) 132.5865

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 132.5968 128.8903 130.6181
February 130.3936 128.2870 129.0041
March 130.4242 129.2441 129.8110
April 131.0415 128.9586 129.8328
May 131.3941 129.4227 130.3938
June 130.4556 126.9179 128.9099
July 129.2689 126.9436 127.6262
August 127.7012 124.9256 126.5445
September 126.4145 124.3739 125.0957
October 126.0988 124.1972 125.1316
November 125.4024 120.6847 123.5553
December 121.1633 114.6500 116.7393