YEARLY HIGH
120.1430 UGX
YEARLY LOW
92.6641 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
106.8195 UGX

2020 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 120.1430. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 92.6641.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 27.4789 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 114.7425 to the December average rate of 94.7103, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 120.1430 was down 9.39% compared to the 2019 peak of 132.5968, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 600,715 UGX
2019 Average 634,613 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 463,321 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 137,394.60 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

117.5822
92.6311
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 113.3611, compared to 100.2780 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 13.0831 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 113.3611
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 100.2780

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 6.3455 UGX (High: 120.1430 / Low: 113.7975). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8933 UGX (High: 115.8446 / Low: 113.9513).

March Spread (Volatile) ±6.3455
January Spread (Stable) ±1.8933

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 3.6904 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.6904

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 115.5029) against the same month in 2019 (average: 129.8110), the exchange rate shifted by -14.3080 (-11.02%).

2020 Avg (March) 115.5029
2019 Avg (March) 129.8110

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 115.8446 113.9513 114.7425
February 115.9841 113.3478 114.5552
March 120.1430 113.7975 115.5029
April 116.0016 113.2927 114.4235
May 114.4068 110.4341 112.3165
June 110.4105 106.3655 108.6261
July 107.0860 104.5958 105.2635
August 105.4507 101.6998 102.8638
September 102.3075 100.3424 100.9077
October 100.9332 98.1739 99.9333
November 100.2705 96.8063 97.9891
December 96.8398 92.6641 94.7103