YEARLY HIGH
29.4658 UGX
YEARLY LOW
22.6051 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
26.0828 UGX

2025 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 29.4658. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 2, dropping to 22.6051.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.8607 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 29.0234 to the December average rate of 22.9999, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 29.4658 was down 57.70% compared to the 2024 peak of 69.6637, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 147,329 UGX
2024 Average 260,095 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 113,025 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 34,303.50 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

29.6258
22.3975
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 27.9439, compared to 24.2218 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.7220 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 27.9439
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 24.2218

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was March, with a trading range of 1.8039 UGX (High: 29.3780 / Low: 27.5742). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5815 UGX (High: 23.3285 / Low: 22.7470).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.8039
December Spread (Stable) ±0.5815

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2025. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 1.0772 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0772

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2025: 29.0234) against the same month in 2024 (average: 67.4172), the exchange rate shifted by -38.3938 (-56.95%).

2025 Avg (January) 29.0234
2024 Avg (January) 67.4172

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 29.4658 28.6665 29.0234
February 29.2579 28.6660 28.9222
March 29.3780 27.5742 28.1836
April 28.2803 27.3179 27.7936
May 27.6027 26.6398 27.1451
June 27.0005 26.1759 26.5954
July 26.4884 25.7632 26.0438
August 25.9402 24.7891 25.3897
September 24.9923 24.0139 24.4137
October 23.9574 22.6085 23.3366
November 23.8234 22.6051 23.1472
December 23.3285 22.7470 22.9999