YEARLY HIGH
69.6637 UGX
YEARLY LOW
28.6623 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
52.0706 UGX

2024 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 69.6637. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 28.6623.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 41.0014 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 67.4172 to the December average rate of 28.9320, the exchange rate registered a net change of -57.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 69.6637 was down 0.93% compared to the 2023 peak of 70.3149, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 348,319 UGX
2023 Average 340,137 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 143,312 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 205,006.90 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

72.6150
24.9609
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 67.1469, compared to 36.9944 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 30.1524 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 67.1469
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 36.9944

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was July, with a trading range of 15.3231 UGX (High: 64.6400 / Low: 49.3169). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7083 UGX (High: 67.7902 / Low: 67.0820).

July Spread (Volatile) ±15.3231
January Spread (Stable) ±0.7083

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 27.1211 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -27.1211

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 68.3827) against the same month in 2023 (average: 68.6462), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2635 (-0.38%).

2024 Avg (February) 68.3827
2023 Avg (February) 68.6462

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 67.7902 67.0820 67.4172
February 69.6637 67.4381 68.3827
March 69.2261 68.1959 68.6438
April 68.3694 66.4634 67.1281
May 66.6414 65.3500 66.0622
June 66.4656 64.2591 65.2472
July 64.6400 49.3169 63.7412
August 47.3490 32.9181 36.6201
September 33.7000 30.8113 32.1612
October 30.9666 29.9975 30.5022
November 30.5084 29.1959 30.0098
December 29.4659 28.6623 28.9320