YEARLY HIGH
148.9158 UGX
YEARLY LOW
130.5906 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
138.3025 UGX

2013 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 148.9158. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 130.5906.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 18.3253 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 146.6313 to the December average rate of 131.5464, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.29% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 148.9158 was up 0.50% compared to the 2012 peak of 148.1741, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 744,579 UGX
2012 Average 704,854 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 652,953 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 91,626.25 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

148.1398
130.0379
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 141.7628, compared to 134.8421 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.9208 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 141.7628
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 134.8421

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 4.4709 UGX (High: 140.8055 / Low: 136.3345). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1976 UGX (High: 139.4318 / Low: 138.2342).

April Spread (Volatile) ±4.4709
June Spread (Stable) ±1.1976

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 3.7820 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.7820

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 146.6313) against the same month in 2012 (average: 139.3755), the exchange rate shifted by +7.2559 (+5.21%).

2013 Avg (January) 146.6313
2012 Avg (January) 139.3755

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 148.9158 145.2451 146.6313
February 145.8626 143.5353 144.5490
March 144.4140 140.1514 142.8154
April 140.8055 136.3345 139.0335
May 140.0939 137.5146 138.8005
June 139.4318 138.2342 138.7473
July 139.1445 137.2434 137.9838
August 137.8222 136.4195 137.0217
September 137.3305 134.5296 136.0954
October 135.9575 132.5839 133.8094
November 133.3885 132.0892 132.5958
December 132.5298 130.5906 131.5464