2014 ETB to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

137.9499 UGX

YEARLY LOW

127.2971 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

132.0198 UGX

2014 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 29, valuing the pair at 137.9499. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 127.2971.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.6527 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 130.4890 to the December average rate of 137.0953, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.06% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 137.9499 was down 7.36% compared to the 2013 peak of 148.9158, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 689,749 UGX

2013 Average 691,348 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 636,486 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 53,263.55 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

137.9765

127.4015

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 130.1794, compared to 133.8603 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.6808 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 130.1794

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 133.8603

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 4.2576 UGX (High: 137.9499 / Low: 133.6922). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3039 UGX (High: 130.3116 / Low: 129.0077).

November Spread (Volatile) ±4.2576

May Spread (Stable) ±1.3039

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 2.2063 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.2063

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 136.0564) against the same month in 2013 (average: 132.5958), the exchange rate shifted by +3.4606 (+2.61%).

2014 Avg (November) 136.0564

2013 Avg (November) 132.5958

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	132.1115	128.7024	130.4890
February	130.8585	127.2971	128.2828
March	133.7709	129.8891	131.2714
April	131.9048	128.8132	129.8902
May	130.3116	129.0077	129.6233
June	133.0499	130.1041	131.5198
July	135.1879	131.7432	133.3799
August	132.4211	130.4462	131.6254
September	132.9510	129.8862	131.3429
October	135.2159	132.0966	133.6617
November	137.9499	133.6922	136.0564
December	137.8811	136.2476	137.0953