2016 ETB to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

163.8577 UGX

YEARLY LOW

152.2967 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

156.5225 UGX

2016 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 163.8577. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 2, dropping to 152.2967.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.5609 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 162.1663 to the December average rate of 160.7817, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 163.8577 was down 7.16% compared to the 2015 peak of 176.4966, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 819,288 UGX

2015 Average 782,061 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 761,484 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 57,804.65 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

163.0996

151.9004

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 157.2844, compared to 155.7607 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5236 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 157.2844

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 155.7607

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 6.9488 UGX (High: 162.7372 / Low: 155.7884). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0418 UGX (High: 153.4201 / Low: 152.3783).

November Spread (Volatile) ±6.9488

September Spread (Stable) ±1.0418

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 3.6406 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.6406

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 162.1663) against the same month in 2015 (average: 140.8329), the exchange rate shifted by +21.3334 (+15.15%).

2016 Avg (January) 162.1663

2015 Avg (January) 140.8329

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	163.8577	159.2506	162.1663
February	163.4297	156.9186	160.8100
March	157.8575	156.3957	157.1694
April	156.5182	153.3226	155.0336
May	155.5889	153.3953	154.2120
June	155.9944	153.3318	154.3147
July	155.4754	152.8897	153.9352
August	153.4680	152.4008	152.8337
September	153.4201	152.3783	152.9536
October	155.9871	152.2967	154.5392
November	162.7372	155.7884	159.5210
December	162.7399	159.0406	160.7817