YEARLY HIGH
161.8721 UGX
YEARLY LOW
131.7181 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
151.6604 UGX

2017 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 161.8721. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 131.7181.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 30.1540 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 160.2472 to the December average rate of 132.5932, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 161.8721 was down 1.21% compared to the 2016 peak of 163.8577, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 809,361 UGX
2016 Average 782,554 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 658,590 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 150,770.15 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

163.0126
129.8278
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 158.1762, compared to 145.1446 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 13.0316 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 158.1762
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 145.1446

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was October, with a trading range of 21.3262 UGX (High: 154.6419 / Low: 133.3157). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8369 UGX (High: 133.5550 / Low: 131.7181).

October Spread (Volatile) ±21.3262
December Spread (Stable) ±1.8369

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 12.4153 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -12.4153

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 160.2472) against the same month in 2016 (average: 162.1663), the exchange rate shifted by -1.9191 (-1.18%).

2017 Avg (January) 160.2472
2016 Avg (January) 162.1663

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 161.8721 157.7070 160.2472
February 159.8300 156.8613 158.2521
March 160.5579 156.3042 158.7336
April 160.1959 157.2474 158.8450
May 158.9442 156.2697 157.5440
June 157.1575 154.0000 155.4354
July 156.7669 153.8431 155.2762
August 156.1102 153.8998 154.8995
September 155.2682 152.3898 153.6536
October 154.6419 133.3157 141.2383
November 134.3157 132.4642 133.2068
December 133.5550 131.7181 132.5932