2015 ETB to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

176.4966 UGX

YEARLY LOW

137.0680 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

156.3251 UGX

2015 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 1, valuing the pair at 176.4966. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 137.0680.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 39.4287 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 140.8329 to the December average rate of 159.1869, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 176.4966 was up 27.94% compared to the 2014 peak of 137.9499, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 882,483 UGX

2014 Average 660,243 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 685,340 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 197,143.43 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

178.8101

137.3805

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 145.5859, compared to 167.0643 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 21.4785 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 145.5859

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 167.0643

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 12.9993 UGX (High: 170.4177 / Low: 157.4184). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3985 UGX (High: 142.1366 / Low: 140.7381).

July Spread (Volatile) ±12.9993

February Spread (Stable) ±1.3985

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 11.0089 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -11.0089

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 173.5938) against the same month in 2014 (average: 133.6617), the exchange rate shifted by +39.9321 (+29.88%).

2015 Avg (October) 173.5938

2014 Avg (October) 133.6617

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	143.3756	137.0680	140.8329
February	142.1366	140.7381	141.3123
March	148.1659	141.9738	144.4561
April	147.3394	145.3765	146.3404
May	148.5528	145.5387	146.2946
June	159.5787	148.8622	154.2789
July	170.4177	157.4184	161.4691
August	175.3212	164.4246	170.1936
September	176.2234	174.6890	175.3577
October	176.4966	168.1459	173.5938
November	168.8122	159.1354	162.5849
December	162.9882	157.2792	159.1869