YEARLY HIGH
70.4727 CDF
YEARLY LOW
65.3321 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
67.7312 CDF

2018 HNL to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 70.4727. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 28, dropping to 65.3321.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.1407 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 67.7642 to the December average rate of 67.0133, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 70.4727 was down 0.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 70.6883, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 352,364 CDF
2017 Average 310,668 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 326,660 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,703.38 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

68.5971
66.7090
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 67.9954, compared to 67.4670 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5284 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 67.9954
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 67.4670

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 4.7088 CDF (High: 70.4727 / Low: 65.7639). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4531 CDF (High: 68.3306 / Low: 67.8775).

December Spread (Volatile) ±4.7088
April Spread (Stable) ±0.4531

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.7426 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7426

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 67.0133) against the same month in 2017 (average: 66.7559), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2574 (+0.39%).

2018 Avg (December) 67.0133
2017 Avg (December) 66.7559

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 68.3500 66.2209 67.7642
February 68.9725 67.6714 68.2471
March 68.7171 67.9643 68.4398
April 68.3306 67.8775 68.2215
May 68.2860 67.5491 67.9222
June 67.8439 67.1509 67.3779
July 69.2934 65.3321 67.5691
August 68.4681 67.2072 67.7484
September 68.3992 67.3993 67.9961
October 68.3202 66.7910 67.6089
November 68.0968 66.0243 66.8664
December 70.4727 65.7639 67.0133