YEARLY HIGH
112.5975 CDF
YEARLY LOW
65.7780 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
67.3705 CDF

2019 HNL to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the HNL to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 9, valuing the pair at 112.5975. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 65.7780.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 46.8194 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 66.9133 to the December average rate of 69.3490, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 112.5975 was up 59.77% compared to the 2018 peak of 70.4727, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 562,987 CDF
2018 Average 338,641 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 328,890 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 234,097.24 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

69.6090
66.4892
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 66.9751, compared to 67.7659 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7908 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 66.9751
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 67.7659

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 45.2570 CDF (High: 112.5975 / Low: 67.3405). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6066 CDF (High: 67.7165 / Low: 67.1100).

December Spread (Volatile) ±45.2570
November Spread (Stable) ±0.6066

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.5230 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5230

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 69.3490) against the same month in 2018 (average: 67.0133), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3357 (+3.49%).

2019 Avg (December) 69.3490
2018 Avg (December) 67.0133

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 67.4718 66.4269 66.9133
February 67.4223 66.4227 66.8746
March 67.3824 66.4359 66.7491
April 67.1105 66.4970 66.8249
May 70.0256 66.3285 67.5057
June 67.5879 65.7780 66.9827
July 68.0522 67.1239 67.4093
August 68.1098 67.2618 67.4631
September 68.5190 67.3486 67.6175
October 67.7561 67.0707 67.3516
November 67.7165 67.1100 67.4047
December 112.5975 67.3405 69.3490