YEARLY HIGH
81.6744 CDF
YEARLY LOW
61.2271 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
74.8262 CDF

2020 HNL to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the HNL to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 25, valuing the pair at 81.6744. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 6, dropping to 61.2271.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 20.4474 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 68.0485 to the December average rate of 80.6309, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 81.6744 was down 27.46% compared to the 2019 peak of 112.5975, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 408,372 CDF
2019 Average 336,882 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 306,135 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 102,236.81 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

81.8891
66.7902
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 70.0501, compared to 79.6024 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 9.5523 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 70.0501
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 79.6024

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was December, with a trading range of 20.4474 CDF (High: 81.6744 / Low: 61.2271). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9710 CDF (High: 68.7778 / Low: 67.8068).

December Spread (Volatile) ±20.4474
February Spread (Stable) ±0.9710

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0911 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0911

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 80.6309) against the same month in 2019 (average: 69.3490), the exchange rate shifted by +11.2819 (+16.27%).

2020 Avg (December) 80.6309
2019 Avg (December) 69.3490

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 68.5892 66.6271 68.0485
February 68.7778 67.8068 68.1134
March 69.3149 68.0305 68.5226
April 69.5723 68.5371 68.9751
May 73.6239 69.0827 71.5421
June 77.3834 73.0877 75.0986
July 79.4986 76.6546 78.2043
August 80.0139 78.7785 79.4148
September 79.8541 78.8710 79.4396
October 80.0757 73.6415 79.3485
November 81.2114 79.8762 80.5760
December 81.6744 61.2271 80.6309