YEARLY HIGH
1.3967 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.0856 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3264 DJF

2024 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 8, valuing the pair at 1.3967. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 1.0856.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3111 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1137 to the December average rate of 1.3754, the exchange rate registered a net change of 23.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 1.3967 was down 3.07% compared to the 2023 peak of 1.4409, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,984 DJF
2023 Average 6,386 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 5,428 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,555.37 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

1.4064
1.0871
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2758, compared to 1.3771 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1013 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2758
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3771

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was February, with a trading range of 0.1523 DJF (High: 1.2480 / Low: 1.0957). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0077 DJF (High: 1.3794 / Low: 1.3717).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1523
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0077

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0035 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0035

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2024: 1.3544) against the same month in 2023 (average: 1.3221), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0323 (+2.45%).

2024 Avg (April) 1.3544
2023 Avg (April) 1.3221

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1396 1.0856 1.1137
February 1.2480 1.0957 1.1697
March 1.3472 1.2097 1.2941
April 1.3967 1.3221 1.3544
May 1.3910 1.3148 1.3509
June 1.3826 1.3596 1.3717
July 1.3965 1.3486 1.3781
August 1.3851 1.3574 1.3751
September 1.3874 1.3770 1.3798
October 1.3861 1.3721 1.3783
November 1.3882 1.3704 1.3759
December 1.3794 1.3717 1.3754