2020 KES to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7741 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.5954 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6735 DJF

2020 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 1.7741. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 1.5954.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1787 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7610 to the December average rate of 1.6113, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.7741 was down 0.78% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.7880, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,871 DJF

2019 Average 8,724 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 7,977 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 893.45 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.7810

1.5959

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7094, compared to 1.6375 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0718 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7094

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6375

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.0868 DJF (High: 1.7602 / Low: 1.6734). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0070 DJF (High: 1.6411 / Low: 1.6341).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0868

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0070

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0500 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0500

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2020: 1.7656) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.7762), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0107 (-0.60%).

2020 Avg (February) 1.7656

2019 Avg (February) 1.7762

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7738	1.7495	1.7610
February	1.7741	1.7591	1.7656
March	1.7602	1.6734	1.7156
April	1.6920	1.6589	1.6724
May	1.6856	1.6594	1.6684
June	1.6781	1.6671	1.6733
July	1.6735	1.6483	1.6588
August	1.6532	1.6373	1.6463
September	1.6469	1.6390	1.6418
October	1.6411	1.6341	1.6386
November	1.6372	1.6171	1.6285
December	1.6377	1.5954	1.6113