YEARLY HIGH
1.3911 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.3654 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3766 DJF

2026 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 30, valuing the pair at 1.3911. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 7, dropping to 1.3654.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0257 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3794 to the December average rate of 1.3746, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.3911 was up 0.07% compared to the 2025 peak of 1.3902, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,956 DJF
2025 Average 6,879 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 6,827 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 128.37 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1.3804
1.3735
JanuFebrMarcApriMayJune

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3766, compared to 0.0000 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.3766 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3766
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0000

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.0200 DJF (High: 1.3911 / Low: 1.3711). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0055 DJF (High: 1.3821 / Low: 1.3766).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0200
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0055

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0057 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0057

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 1.3794) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1.3744), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0049 (+0.36%).

2026 Avg (January) 1.3794
2025 Avg (January) 1.3744

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3911 1.3711 1.3794
February 1.3821 1.3766 1.3798
March 1.3818 1.3664 1.3741
April 1.3826 1.3654 1.3750
May 1.3793 1.3736 1.3766
June 1.3770 1.3712 1.3746