2015 KES to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.9712 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.6735 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.8136 DJF

2015 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 1.9712. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 7, dropping to 1.6735.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2977 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9472 to the December average rate of 1.7384, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.9712 was down 5.49% compared to the 2014 peak of 2.0858, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,856 DJF

2014 Average 10,150 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 8,367 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,488.54 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.9735

1.6582

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8980, compared to 1.7292 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1688 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8980

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7292

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was May, with a trading range of 0.0692 DJF (High: 1.8738 / Low: 1.8045). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0104 DJF (High: 1.7431 / Low: 1.7328).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0692

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0104

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0611 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0611

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 1.9472) against the same month in 2014 (average: 2.0637), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1165 (-5.65%).

2015 Avg (January) 1.9472

2014 Avg (January) 2.0637

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.9712	1.9306	1.9472
February	1.9566	1.9366	1.9470
March	1.9607	1.9210	1.9377
April	1.9276	1.8746	1.9018
May	1.8738	1.8045	1.8412
June	1.8412	1.7865	1.8132
July	1.7883	1.7296	1.7521
August	1.7592	1.7098	1.7337
September	1.7090	1.6735	1.6845
October	1.7487	1.6990	1.7283
November	1.7431	1.7328	1.7380
December	1.7487	1.7343	1.7384