2012 KES to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.1851 DJF

YEARLY LOW

2.0353 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.1108 DJF

2012 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 14, valuing the pair at 2.1851. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 2.0353.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1498 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0713 to the December average rate of 2.0678, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.1851 was down 0.84% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.2036, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,925 DJF

2011 Average 10,061 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 10,176 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 748.99 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.1646

2.0590

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.1269, compared to 2.0947 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0322 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.1269

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0947

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0945 DJF (High: 2.1298 / Low: 2.0353). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0155 DJF (High: 2.1225 / Low: 2.1070).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0945

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0155

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0281 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0281

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2012: 2.1558) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.1087), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0471 (+2.24%).

2012 Avg (March) 2.1558

2011 Avg (March) 2.1087

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.1298	2.0353	2.0713
February	2.1606	2.1295	2.1479
March	2.1851	2.1409	2.1558
April	2.1648	2.1418	2.1519
May	2.1594	2.0671	2.1238
June	2.1471	2.0719	2.1108
July	2.1225	2.1070	2.1135
August	2.1267	2.1049	2.1168
September	2.1205	2.0824	2.1033
October	2.0994	2.0798	2.0892
November	2.0857	2.0675	2.0777
December	2.0836	2.0592	2.0678