2014 KES to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.0858 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.9613 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0301 DJF

2014 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 23, valuing the pair at 2.0858. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 1.9613.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1244 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0637 to the December average rate of 1.9719, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 2.0858 was down 1.84% compared to the 2013 peak of 2.1249, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,429 DJF

2013 Average 10,310 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 9,807 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 622.07 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

2.0730

1.9627

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0548, compared to 2.0055 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0493 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0548

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0055

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.0477 DJF (High: 2.0858 / Low: 2.0381). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0184 DJF (High: 1.9797 / Low: 1.9613).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0477

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0184

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0186 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0186

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 2.0637) against the same month in 2013 (average: 2.0414), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0223 (+1.09%).

2014 Avg (January) 2.0637

2013 Avg (January) 2.0414

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.0858	2.0381	2.0637
February	2.0726	2.0527	2.0638
March	2.0669	2.0461	2.0576
April	2.0693	2.0458	2.0585
May	2.0626	2.0272	2.0452
June	2.0525	2.0291	2.0398
July	2.0469	2.0284	2.0366
August	2.0426	2.0152	2.0285
September	2.0212	1.9917	2.0099
October	2.0109	1.9916	2.0011
November	2.0021	1.9747	1.9848
December	1.9797	1.9613	1.9719