2019 KES to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7880 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.4543 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7451 DJF

2019 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 10, valuing the pair at 1.7880. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 1.4543.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3337 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7431 to the December average rate of 1.7550, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.7880 was up 0.40% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.7810, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,940 DJF

2018 Average 8,779 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 7,272 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,668.44 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.7823

1.7098

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7607, compared to 1.7294 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0313 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7607

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7294

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.3205 DJF (High: 1.7748 / Low: 1.4543). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0101 DJF (High: 1.7286 / Low: 1.7185).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3205

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0101

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0259 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0259

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 1.7737) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.7503), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0233 (+1.33%).

2019 Avg (March) 1.7737

2018 Avg (March) 1.7503

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7748	1.4543	1.7431
February	1.7791	1.7676	1.7762
March	1.7880	1.7626	1.7737
April	1.7692	1.7520	1.7609
May	1.7647	1.7545	1.7594
June	1.7604	1.7391	1.7509
July	1.7415	1.7084	1.7249
August	1.7286	1.7185	1.7238
September	1.7295	1.7124	1.7158
October	1.7257	1.7133	1.7171
November	1.7603	1.7235	1.7397
December	1.7699	1.7333	1.7550