2018 KES to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7810 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.7251 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7558 DJF

2018 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 22, valuing the pair at 1.7810. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 15, dropping to 1.7251.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0558 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7372 to the December average rate of 1.7421, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.28% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.7810 was up 1.39% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.7566, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,905 DJF

2017 Average 8,646 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 8,626 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 279.14 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.7715

1.7340

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7540, compared to 1.7576 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0036 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7540

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7576

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0314 DJF (High: 1.7565 / Low: 1.7251). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0104 DJF (High: 1.7696 / Low: 1.7591).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0314

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0104

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0212 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0212

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 1.7681) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.7213), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0468 (+2.72%).

2018 Avg (July) 1.7681

2017 Avg (July) 1.7213

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7471	1.7257	1.7372
February	1.7617	1.7379	1.7510
March	1.7568	1.7461	1.7503
April	1.7719	1.7460	1.7583
May	1.7741	1.7528	1.7651
June	1.7675	1.7555	1.7622
July	1.7810	1.7606	1.7681
August	1.7746	1.7632	1.7684
September	1.7696	1.7591	1.7659
October	1.7688	1.7466	1.7612
November	1.7565	1.7251	1.7400
December	1.7565	1.7347	1.7421