YEARLY HIGH
1.6718 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.5695 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6237 DJF

2021 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 10, valuing the pair at 1.6718. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 11, dropping to 1.5695.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1023 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6209 to the December average rate of 1.5759, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.6718 was down 5.77% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.7741, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,359 DJF
2020 Average 8,366 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 7,848 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 511.29 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.6647
1.5678
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6372, compared to 1.6102 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0270 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6372
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6102

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0362 DJF (High: 1.6669 / Low: 1.6307). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0037 DJF (High: 1.6530 / Low: 1.6494).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0362
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0037

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0166 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0166

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 1.6566) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.6684), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0118 (-0.71%).

2021 Avg (May) 1.6566
2020 Avg (May) 1.6684

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6302 1.6148 1.6209
February 1.6273 1.6160 1.6235
March 1.6264 1.6200 1.6228
April 1.6669 1.6307 1.6481
May 1.6718 1.6447 1.6566
June 1.6530 1.6494 1.6513
July 1.6500 1.6383 1.6454
August 1.6421 1.6199 1.6289
September 1.6200 1.6110 1.6160
October 1.6113 1.6002 1.6054
November 1.5995 1.5818 1.5895
December 1.5850 1.5695 1.5759