2013 KES to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.1249 DJF

YEARLY LOW

2.0196 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0618 DJF

2013 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 9, valuing the pair at 2.1249. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 8, dropping to 2.0196.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1053 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0414 to the December average rate of 2.0634, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 2.1249 was down 2.75% compared to the 2012 peak of 2.1851, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,625 DJF

2012 Average 10,553 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 10,098 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 526.52 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

2.1184

2.0216

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0716, compared to 2.0519 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0197 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0716

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0519

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was October, with a trading range of 0.0480 DJF (High: 2.0921 / Low: 2.0440). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0199 DJF (High: 2.0395 / Low: 2.0196).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0480

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0199

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0336 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0336

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 2.1103) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.1238), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0134 (-0.63%).

2013 Avg (May) 2.1103

2012 Avg (May) 2.1238

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.0664	2.0218	2.0414
February	2.0592	2.0224	2.0297
March	2.0825	2.0485	2.0677
April	2.1175	2.0765	2.1038
May	2.1249	2.0836	2.1103
June	2.0922	2.0593	2.0767
July	2.0700	2.0276	2.0451
August	2.0395	2.0196	2.0300
September	2.0507	2.0256	2.0332
October	2.0921	2.0440	2.0796
November	2.0771	2.0429	2.0603
December	2.0804	2.0449	2.0634