YEARLY HIGH
1.4409 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.1326 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2780 DJF

2023 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.4409. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 1.1326.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3083 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4340 to the December average rate of 1.1531, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.4409 was down 8.40% compared to the 2022 peak of 1.5731, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,205 DJF
2022 Average 7,552 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 5,663 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,541.74 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.4621
1.1250
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3526, compared to 1.2035 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1490 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3526
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2035

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 0.0546 DJF (High: 1.3967 / Low: 1.3421). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0120 DJF (High: 1.4409 / Low: 1.4289).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0546
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0120

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0492 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0492

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 1.4340) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1.5685), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1344 (-8.57%).

2023 Avg (January) 1.4340
2022 Avg (January) 1.5685

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4409 1.4289 1.4340
February 1.4403 1.3991 1.4167
March 1.3967 1.3421 1.3713
April 1.3421 1.2920 1.3221
May 1.3159 1.2828 1.2962
June 1.2996 1.2599 1.2751
July 1.2791 1.2455 1.2565
August 1.2526 1.2230 1.2377
September 1.2254 1.2026 1.2129
October 1.2053 1.1804 1.1917
November 1.1840 1.1603 1.1693
December 1.1691 1.1326 1.1531