2016 KES to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7668 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.7249 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7505 DJF

2016 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 9, valuing the pair at 1.7668. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 1.7249.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0419 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7359 to the December average rate of 1.7467, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.7668 was down 10.37% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.9712, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,834 DJF

2015 Average 9,064 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 8,624 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 209.50 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.7654

1.7332

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7508, compared to 1.7502 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7508

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7502

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0239 DJF (High: 1.7605 / Low: 1.7367). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0092 DJF (High: 1.7560 / Low: 1.7468).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0239

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0092

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0070 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0070

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 1.7628) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.8412), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0785 (-4.26%).

2016 Avg (May) 1.7628

2015 Avg (May) 1.8412

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7450	1.7249	1.7359
February	1.7496	1.7342	1.7424
March	1.7588	1.7469	1.7512
April	1.7588	1.7496	1.7549
May	1.7668	1.7562	1.7628
June	1.7628	1.7534	1.7574
July	1.7553	1.7419	1.7504
August	1.7530	1.7422	1.7492
September	1.7560	1.7468	1.7524
October	1.7586	1.7465	1.7534
November	1.7544	1.7445	1.7494
December	1.7605	1.7367	1.7467