2017 KES to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7566 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.7096 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7291 DJF

2017 KES to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the KES to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 5, valuing the pair at 1.7566. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 1.7096.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0470 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7227 to the December average rate of 1.7339, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 1.7566 was down 0.58% compared to the 2016 peak of 1.7668, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,783 DJF

2016 Average 8,753 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 8,548 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 234.92 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

1.7422

1.7194

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7301, compared to 1.7281 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0020 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7301

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7281

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was January, with a trading range of 0.0255 DJF (High: 1.7351 / Low: 1.7096). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0092 DJF (High: 1.7385 / Low: 1.7293).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0255

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0092

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0104 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0104

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2017: 1.7403) against the same month in 2016 (average: 1.7512), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0109 (-0.62%).

2017 Avg (March) 1.7403

2016 Avg (March) 1.7512

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7351	1.7096	1.7227
February	1.7372	1.7207	1.7267
March	1.7566	1.7336	1.7403
April	1.7381	1.7260	1.7300
May	1.7385	1.7293	1.7329
June	1.7410	1.7219	1.7281
July	1.7255	1.7119	1.7213
August	1.7373	1.7136	1.7245
September	1.7399	1.7269	1.7330
October	1.7344	1.7222	1.7290
November	1.7343	1.7225	1.7270
December	1.7394	1.7265	1.7339