YEARLY HIGH
4.6918 KMF
YEARLY LOW
3.4024 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0077 KMF

2011 KES to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KES to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 4.6918. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 3.4024.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2893 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5476 to the December average rate of 4.3274, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 4.6918 was down 7.41% compared to the 2010 peak of 5.0673, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,459 KMF
2010 Average 23,455 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 17,012 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,446.62 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

4.6471
3.4537
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1780, compared to 3.8373 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3408 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1780
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8373

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.4667 KMF (High: 4.1347 / Low: 3.6680). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1035 KMF (High: 4.0577 / Low: 3.9542).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4667
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1035

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2523 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2523

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 4.5476) against the same month in 2010 (average: 4.5535), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0059 (-0.13%).

2011 Avg (January) 4.5476
2010 Avg (January) 4.5535

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6918 4.4242 4.5476
February 4.5044 4.3169 4.4234
March 4.3020 4.0780 4.1711
April 4.1778 3.9709 4.0619
May 4.0577 3.9542 4.0180
June 3.9758 3.7405 3.8462
July 3.9103 3.7578 3.8330
August 3.8047 3.6222 3.6963
September 3.8143 3.5230 3.7104
October 3.6521 3.4024 3.5532
November 4.1347 3.6680 3.9035
December 4.5150 4.0679 4.3274