YEARLY HIGH
215.4624 KMF
YEARLY LOW
4.1970 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8802 KMF

2019 KES to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KES to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 23, valuing the pair at 215.4624. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 4.1970.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 211.2654 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2476 to the December average rate of 4.3722, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 215.4624 was up 0.23% compared to the 2018 peak of 214.9645, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,077,312 KMF
2018 Average 23,485 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 20,985 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,056,326.86 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

11.7490
3.5656
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3147, compared to 5.4457 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1310 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3147
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4457

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 211.2330 KMF (High: 215.4624 / Low: 4.2294). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0482 KMF (High: 4.3746 / Low: 4.3264).

July Spread (Volatile) ±211.2330
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0482

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 6.7954 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.7954

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 11.0670) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.1852), the exchange rate shifted by +6.8818 (+164.43%).

2019 Avg (July) 11.0670
2018 Avg (July) 4.1852

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3000 4.1970 4.2476
February 4.3574 4.2791 4.3292
March 4.3997 4.2931 4.3401
April 4.3631 4.2975 4.3352
May 4.3746 4.3264 4.3494
June 4.3517 4.2320 4.2867
July 215.4624 4.2294 11.0670
August 4.3289 4.2470 4.2716
September 4.3486 4.2824 4.3126
October 4.3369 4.2587 4.2962
November 4.4019 4.2813 4.3547
December 4.4123 4.3289 4.3722