YEARLY HIGH
4.5756 KMF
YEARLY LOW
4.1115 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3058 KMF

2013 KES to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 19, valuing the pair at 4.5756. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 4.1115.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4641 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2641 to the December average rate of 4.1611, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 4.5756 was down 5.39% compared to the 2012 peak of 4.8362, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,878 KMF
2012 Average 22,687 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 20,557 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,320.55 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

4.5473
4.1259
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3768, compared to 4.2349 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1418 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3768
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2349

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 0.2521 KMF (High: 4.3636 / Low: 4.1115). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0553 KMF (High: 4.2533 / Low: 4.1980).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2521
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0553

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1477 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1477

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 4.5122) against the same month in 2012 (average: 4.5599), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0477 (-1.05%).

2013 Avg (May) 4.5122
2012 Avg (May) 4.5599

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3638 4.1478 4.2641
February 4.3636 4.1115 4.2099
March 4.5000 4.3597 4.4253
April 4.5168 4.4490 4.4845
May 4.5756 4.4622 4.5122
June 4.4564 4.2972 4.3645
July 4.4364 4.2426 4.3330
August 4.2533 4.1980 4.2253
September 4.2701 4.1758 4.2249
October 4.2803 4.1726 4.2318
November 4.3057 4.1618 4.2335
December 4.1934 4.1184 4.1611