YEARLY HIGH
214.9645 KMF
YEARLY LOW
3.8539 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7038 KMF

2018 KES to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 5, valuing the pair at 214.9645. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 3.8539.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 211.1107 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9221 to the December average rate of 4.2342, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 214.9645 was up 4594.35% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.5792, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,074,823 KMF
2017 Average 21,105 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 19,269 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,055,553.39 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

11.9845
3.1892
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0164, compared to 5.3911 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3747 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0164
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.3911

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 210.7816 KMF (High: 214.9645 / Low: 4.1830). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0490 KMF (High: 4.2616 / Low: 4.2126).

November Spread (Volatile) ±210.7816
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0490

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 7.0173 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.0173

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 11.2516) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.0520), the exchange rate shifted by +7.1996 (+177.68%).

2018 Avg (November) 11.2516
2017 Avg (November) 4.0520

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0031 3.8539 3.9221
February 3.9946 3.8717 3.9317
March 3.9819 3.9203 3.9470
April 4.0599 3.9475 3.9895
May 4.1876 4.0328 4.1301
June 4.2199 4.1365 4.1780
July 4.2158 4.1511 4.1852
August 4.3032 4.1958 4.2433
September 4.2324 4.1384 4.1922
October 4.2760 4.2099 4.2401
November 214.9645 4.1830 11.2516
December 4.2616 4.2126 4.2342