YEARLY HIGH
4.5792 KMF
YEARLY LOW
3.7436 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2226 KMF

2017 KES to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the KES to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 5, valuing the pair at 4.5792. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 19, dropping to 3.7436.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8356 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4609 to the December average rate of 4.0346, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 4.5792 was down 1.25% compared to the 2016 peak of 4.6373, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,896 KMF
2016 Average 21,853 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 18,718 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,178.22 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

4.5278
3.9572
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.4016, compared to 4.0436 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3580 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.4016
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0436

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was August, with a trading range of 0.3262 KMF (High: 4.0698 / Low: 3.7436). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0726 KMF (High: 4.0906 / Low: 4.0180).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3262
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0726

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1357 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1357

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2017: 4.4802) against the same month in 2016 (average: 4.3609), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1193 (+2.74%).

2017 Avg (March) 4.4802
2016 Avg (March) 4.3609

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5467 4.3914 4.4609
February 4.5248 4.3979 4.4637
March 4.5792 4.4103 4.4802
April 4.4944 4.3630 4.4505
May 4.3966 4.2435 4.3148
June 4.2743 4.1522 4.2392
July 4.1868 4.0039 4.1145
August 4.0698 3.7436 4.0047
September 4.0515 3.9701 4.0082
October 4.0906 4.0180 4.0476
November 4.0968 3.9919 4.0520
December 4.0676 3.9809 4.0346