YEARLY HIGH
4.2510 KMF
YEARLY LOW
3.6866 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9613 KMF

2022 KES to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the KES to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 27, valuing the pair at 4.2510. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 3.6866.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5643 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8334 to the December average rate of 3.7784, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 4.2510 was down 80.03% compared to the 2021 peak of 21.2833, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,255 KMF
2021 Average 19,223 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 18,433 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,821.67 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

4.1677
3.7430
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9118, compared to 4.0108 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0990 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9118
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0108

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was November, with a trading range of 0.2536 KMF (High: 4.1260 / Low: 3.8724). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0926 KMF (High: 3.8695 / Low: 3.7769).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2536
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0926

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1903 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1903

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2022: 4.1235) against the same month in 2021 (average: 3.8068), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3167 (+8.32%).

2022 Avg (September) 4.1235
2021 Avg (September) 3.8068

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8891 3.7861 3.8334
February 3.8695 3.7769 3.8165
March 3.9671 3.8413 3.9107
April 4.0513 3.8691 3.9384
May 4.0693 3.9251 4.0065
June 4.0241 3.9216 3.9653
July 4.0943 3.9061 3.9939
August 4.1221 3.9916 4.0679
September 4.2510 4.0338 4.1235
October 4.2031 4.0253 4.1323
November 4.1260 3.8724 3.9687
December 3.8945 3.6866 3.7784