YEARLY HIGH
5.1128 KMF
YEARLY LOW
4.1050 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5276 KMF

2015 KES to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the KES to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 15, valuing the pair at 5.1128. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 17, dropping to 4.1050.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0078 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6307 to the December average rate of 4.4016, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.1128 was up 14.04% compared to the 2014 peak of 4.4832, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,564 KMF
2014 Average 21,080 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 20,525 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,039.08 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.0366
4.0825
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.7123, compared to 4.3429 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3695 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.7123
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3429

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was April, with a trading range of 0.3230 KMF (High: 4.9878 / Low: 4.6649). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1146 KMF (High: 4.8093 / Low: 4.6947).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.3230
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1146

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.3007 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3007

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2015: 4.9570) against the same month in 2014 (average: 4.1129), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8442 (+20.52%).

2015 Avg (March) 4.9570
2014 Avg (March) 4.1129

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7810 4.4896 4.6307
February 4.8093 4.6947 4.7397
March 5.1128 4.8119 4.9570
April 4.9878 4.6649 4.8809
May 4.6489 4.4891 4.5802
June 4.5830 4.4033 4.4855
July 4.4639 4.3388 4.4149
August 4.4638 4.1924 4.3314
September 4.2246 4.1050 4.1620
October 4.4135 4.1763 4.2660
November 4.5573 4.3754 4.4812
December 4.5364 4.3220 4.4016