2016 KES to KMF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.6373 KMF

YEARLY LOW

4.2445 KMF

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.3702 KMF

2016 KES to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 4.6373. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 8, dropping to 4.2445.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3928 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4127 to the December average rate of 4.5705, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.6373 was down 9.30% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.1128, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,187 KMF

2015 Average 22,631 KMF

Yearly Trough Low 21,222 KMF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,964.14 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.5988

4.2586

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3333, compared to 4.4071 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0738 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3333

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4071

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.2217 KMF (High: 4.5656 / Low: 4.3439). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0590 KMF (High: 4.3800 / Low: 4.3210).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2217

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0590

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0740 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0740

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 4.5705) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.4016), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1689 (+3.84%).

2016 Avg (December) 4.5705

2015 Avg (December) 4.4016

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4.4693	4.3309	4.4127
February	4.4265	4.2764	4.3488
March	4.4659	4.3072	4.3609
April	4.3317	4.2541	4.2869
May	4.3981	4.2462	4.3031
June	4.3494	4.2445	4.2876
July	4.4159	4.2541	4.3198
August	4.4084	4.3118	4.3756
September	4.3800	4.3210	4.3403
October	4.4338	4.3325	4.3738
November	4.5656	4.3439	4.4627
December	4.6373	4.5101	4.5705