YEARLY HIGH
3.7868 KMF
YEARLY LOW
2.8300 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.2742 KMF

2023 KES to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the KES to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 3.7868. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 2.8300.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9568 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6874 to the December average rate of 2.9212, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 3.7868 was down 10.92% compared to the 2022 peak of 4.2510, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,934 KMF
2022 Average 19,810 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 14,150 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,784.12 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

3.7640
2.8446
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4681, compared to 3.0802 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3880 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4681
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0802

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 0.2304 KMF (High: 3.6446 / Low: 3.4142). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0531 KMF (High: 3.3274 / Low: 3.2744).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2304
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0531

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2146 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2146

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 3.6874) against the same month in 2022 (average: 3.8334), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1460 (-3.81%).

2023 Avg (January) 3.6874
2022 Avg (January) 3.8334

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7868 3.6271 3.6874
February 3.6919 3.6176 3.6623
March 3.6446 3.4142 3.5559
April 3.4182 3.2793 3.3413
May 3.3274 3.2744 3.3032
June 3.3283 3.1999 3.2588
July 3.2625 3.0910 3.1511
August 3.1862 3.0958 3.1405
September 3.1744 3.1175 3.1404
October 3.1778 3.0813 3.1239
November 3.1092 2.9252 3.0039
December 2.9857 2.8300 2.9212