2012 KES to KMF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.8362 KMF

YEARLY LOW

4.3273 KMF

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.5371 KMF

2012 KES to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 24, valuing the pair at 4.8362. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 4.3273.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5089 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4280 to the December average rate of 4.3659, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 4.8362 was up 3.08% compared to the 2011 peak of 4.6918, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,181 KMF

2011 Average 20,028 KMF

Yearly Trough Low 21,636 KMF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,544.64 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

4.7945

4.3269

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5148, compared to 4.5593 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0444 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5148

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5593

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 0.2756 KMF (High: 4.7072 / Low: 4.4315). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0687 KMF (High: 4.7718 / Low: 4.7031).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.2756

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0687

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1812 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1812

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 4.7555) against the same month in 2011 (average: 3.8330), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9225 (+24.07%).

2012 Avg (July) 4.7555

2011 Avg (July) 3.8330

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4.4766	4.3803	4.4280
February	4.5412	4.4266	4.4787
March	4.5959	4.4426	4.4943
April	4.5341	4.4447	4.4965
May	4.6117	4.4748	4.5599
June	4.7002	4.5778	4.6317
July	4.8362	4.5634	4.7555
August	4.7718	4.7031	4.7410
September	4.7072	4.4315	4.5599
October	4.4937	4.4183	4.4543
November	4.5342	4.4153	4.4790
December	4.4241	4.3273	4.3659