YEARLY HIGH
4.4832 KMF
YEARLY LOW
4.0610 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2158 KMF

2014 KES to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the KES to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 4.4832. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 7, dropping to 4.0610.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4222 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1868 to the December average rate of 4.4215, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.61% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.4832 was down 2.02% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.5756, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,416 KMF
2013 Average 21,532 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 20,305 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,110.95 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.4538
4.0669
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1356, compared to 4.2959 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1603 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1356
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2959

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.1576 KMF (High: 4.3583 / Low: 4.2007). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0334 KMF (High: 4.1410 / Low: 4.1077).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1576
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0334

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0638 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0638

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 4.4215) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.1611), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2605 (+6.26%).

2014 Avg (December) 4.4215
2013 Avg (December) 4.1611

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.2346 4.1359 4.1868
February 4.2201 4.1421 4.1767
March 4.1428 4.0792 4.1129
April 4.1439 4.0846 4.1088
May 4.1209 4.0610 4.0991
June 4.1410 4.1077 4.1295
July 4.1864 4.1006 4.1396
August 4.2165 4.1696 4.1870
September 4.3583 4.2007 4.2892
October 4.4040 4.3183 4.3529
November 4.4110 4.3538 4.3852
December 4.4832 4.3484 4.4215