YEARLY HIGH
9.0452 KES
YEARLY LOW
6.5118 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.5827 KES

2011 MDL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MDL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 9.0452. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 6.5118.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5335 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.6504 to the December average rate of 7.3566, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 9.0452 was up 28.90% compared to the 2010 peak of 7.0173, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 45,226 KES
2010 Average 32,048 KES
Yearly Trough Low 32,559 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,667.37 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

8.8290
6.4523
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.1288, compared to 8.0365 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9077 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.1288
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.0365

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.9584 KES (High: 8.4909 / Low: 7.5325). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1712 KES (High: 7.4357 / Low: 7.2645).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.9584
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1712

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.6842 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6842

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 8.6310) against the same month in 2010 (average: 6.8527), the exchange rate shifted by +1.7782 (+25.95%).

2011 Avg (October) 8.6310
2010 Avg (October) 6.8527

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.8052 6.5118 6.6504
February 6.9106 6.7361 6.7982
March 7.2071 6.8992 7.0543
April 7.3171 6.9867 7.2045
May 7.4357 7.2645 7.3612
June 7.8970 7.3637 7.7043
July 8.0172 7.7032 7.8193
August 8.3526 8.0049 8.1791
September 8.6434 8.0695 8.2862
October 9.0452 8.4789 8.6310
November 8.4909 7.5325 7.9468
December 7.6405 7.0918 7.3566