YEARLY HIGH
7.8994 KES
YEARLY LOW
6.8489 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.4768 KES

2025 MDL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MDL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 17, valuing the pair at 7.8994. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 8, dropping to 6.8489.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0505 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.9733 to the December average rate of 7.6571, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.81% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 7.8994 was down 14.63% compared to the 2024 peak of 9.2532, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,497 KES
2024 Average 37,997 KES
Yearly Trough Low 34,245 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,252.57 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

7.8824
6.8457
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.2609, compared to 7.6926 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4317 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.2609
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.6926

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was March, with a trading range of 0.4055 KES (High: 7.3081 / Low: 6.9026). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1389 KES (High: 6.9878 / Low: 6.8489).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4055
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1389

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1292 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1292

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2025: 7.7960) against the same month in 2024 (average: 7.4201), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3760 (+5.07%).

2025 Avg (September) 7.7960
2024 Avg (September) 7.4201

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.0407 6.8609 6.9733
February 6.9878 6.8489 6.9321
March 7.3081 6.9026 7.1637
April 7.6042 7.2079 7.4177
May 7.5789 7.4198 7.5066
June 7.7320 7.4578 7.5722
July 7.7727 7.5626 7.6773
August 7.8288 7.4684 7.7234
September 7.8994 7.7094 7.7960
October 7.8017 7.5349 7.6668
November 7.7382 7.5464 7.6352
December 7.7514 7.5971 7.6571