YEARLY HIGH
6.0191 KES
YEARLY LOW
5.5579 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.8221 KES

2019 MDL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 21, valuing the pair at 6.0191. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 1, dropping to 5.5579.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4612 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.9326 to the December average rate of 5.8763, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6.0191 was down 2.57% compared to the 2018 peak of 6.1781, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,095 KES
2018 Average 30,142 KES
Yearly Trough Low 27,790 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,305.88 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5.9714
5.5762
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.7700, compared to 5.8742 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1042 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.7700
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8742

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.2353 KES (High: 5.9311 / Low: 5.6958). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0845 KES (High: 5.9130 / Low: 5.8285).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.2353
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0845

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1165 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1165

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2019: 5.9385) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.9429), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0044 (-0.07%).

2019 Avg (October) 5.9385
2018 Avg (October) 5.9429

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.9682 5.8791 5.9326
February 5.9130 5.8285 5.8649
March 5.8815 5.7870 5.8445
April 5.8225 5.6659 5.7280
May 5.6730 5.5579 5.6408
June 5.6596 5.5579 5.6091
July 5.9311 5.6958 5.8307
August 5.9570 5.7815 5.8598
September 5.9180 5.8081 5.8622
October 6.0191 5.8604 5.9385
November 5.9563 5.7706 5.8775
December 5.9149 5.8274 5.8763