YEARLY HIGH
9.0824 KES
YEARLY LOW
6.4307 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.7398 KES

2023 MDL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MDL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 9.0824. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 8, dropping to 6.4307.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.6518 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5275 to the December average rate of 8.7745, the exchange rate registered a net change of 34.42% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 9.0824 was up 40.70% compared to the 2022 peak of 6.4553, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 45,412 KES
2022 Average 31,257 KES
Yearly Trough Low 32,153 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,258.81 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

8.9992
6.3028
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.1928, compared to 8.2869 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0940 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.1928
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.2869

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was July, with a trading range of 0.6183 KES (High: 8.2144 / Low: 7.5962). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1044 KES (High: 8.2075 / Low: 8.1031).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.6183
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1044

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 8.7745) against the same month in 2022 (average: 6.3668), the exchange rate shifted by +2.4077 (+37.82%).

2023 Avg (December) 8.7745
2022 Avg (December) 6.3668

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.6500 6.4307 6.5275
February 6.7460 6.6109 6.6933
March 7.2398 6.7453 6.9647
April 7.6159 7.2392 7.4498
May 7.8101 7.5386 7.7230
June 7.8707 7.6731 7.7986
July 8.2144 7.5962 7.9048
August 8.2224 8.0248 8.1314
September 8.2075 8.1031 8.1656
October 8.3266 8.1036 8.2321
November 8.6457 8.3001 8.5128
December 9.0824 8.5552 8.7745