YEARLY HIGH
9.2532 KES
YEARLY LOW
7.0010 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.6017 KES

2024 MDL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the MDL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 9.2532. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 7.0010.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2522 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.0671 to the December average rate of 7.0599, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 9.2532 was up 1.88% compared to the 2023 peak of 9.0824, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 46,266 KES
2023 Average 38,729 KES
Yearly Trough Low 35,005 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,261.12 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

9.2679
6.8592
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.9338, compared to 7.2696 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6642 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.9338
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2696

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was February, with a trading range of 1.2309 KES (High: 9.2125 / Low: 7.9816). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0923 KES (High: 7.4670 / Low: 7.3746).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.2309
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0923

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.7794 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7794

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2024: 9.0671) against the same month in 2023 (average: 6.5275), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5397 (+38.91%).

2024 Avg (January) 9.0671
2023 Avg (January) 6.5275

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.2532 8.8433 9.0671
February 9.2125 7.9816 8.5703
March 8.3003 7.4707 7.7909
April 7.5916 7.2113 7.4081
May 7.6707 7.2499 7.4502
June 7.4849 7.2165 7.3160
July 7.4565 7.1631 7.2891
August 7.4774 7.3074 7.3873
September 7.4670 7.3746 7.4201
October 7.4236 7.1863 7.2979
November 7.2596 7.0795 7.1635
December 7.1067 7.0010 7.0599