YEARLY HIGH
7.4112 KES
YEARLY LOW
6.6959 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.9855 KES

2012 MDL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MDL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 7.4112. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 7, dropping to 6.6959.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7153 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.3042 to the December average rate of 7.0611, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 7.4112 was down 18.07% compared to the 2011 peak of 9.0452, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,056 KES
2011 Average 37,934 KES
Yearly Trough Low 33,480 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,576.27 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

7.3610
6.6799
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.0842, compared to 6.8868 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1974 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.0842
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.8868

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 0.3341 KES (High: 7.1655 / Low: 6.8314). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0416 KES (High: 6.9625 / Low: 6.9209).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.3341
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0416

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2826 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2826

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 7.3042) against the same month in 2011 (average: 6.6504), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6539 (+9.83%).

2012 Avg (January) 7.3042
2011 Avg (January) 6.6504

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.4112 7.1251 7.3042
February 7.0680 6.9248 7.0216
March 7.0613 6.8996 7.0034
April 7.1232 7.0202 7.0695
May 7.2176 6.9992 7.1022
June 7.1655 6.8314 7.0045
July 6.9048 6.7117 6.7985
August 6.7744 6.6959 6.7367
September 6.8939 6.7668 6.8296
October 7.0322 6.8700 6.9563
November 6.9625 6.9209 6.9386
December 7.1359 6.9398 7.0611