2018 MDL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.1781 KES

YEARLY LOW

5.8762 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.0288 KES

2018 MDL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 5, valuing the pair at 6.1781. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 5.8762.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3019 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0701 to the December average rate of 5.9506, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.1781 was up 2.06% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.0533, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,890 KES

2017 Average 28,107 KES

Yearly Trough Low 29,381 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,509.62 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.1338

5.9256

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.0659, compared to 5.9918 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0741 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.0659

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.9918

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.1411 KES (High: 6.1390 / Low: 5.9979). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0734 KES (High: 6.1367 / Low: 6.0633).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1411

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0734

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0822 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0822

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 6.1164) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.3501), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7663 (+14.32%).

2018 Avg (April) 6.1164

2017 Avg (April) 5.3501

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.1390	5.9979	6.0701
February	6.1261	6.0389	6.0817
March	6.1367	6.0633	6.1052
April	6.1781	6.0501	6.1164
May	6.0839	5.9720	6.0342
June	6.0355	5.9261	5.9877
July	6.0673	5.9675	6.0236
August	6.0945	5.9926	6.0535
September	6.0452	5.9575	6.0004
October	5.9868	5.8951	5.9429
November	6.0493	5.9165	5.9795
December	6.0113	5.8762	5.9506