YEARLY HIGH
6.0533 KES
YEARLY LOW
5.1218 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6188 KES

2017 MDL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the MDL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 6.0533. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 7, dropping to 5.1218.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9315 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.1711 to the December average rate of 6.0016, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.06% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 6.0533 was up 16.35% compared to the 2016 peak of 5.2025, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,266 KES
2016 Average 25,525 KES
Yearly Trough Low 25,609 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,657.64 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

6.0846
5.0881
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.3651, compared to 5.8724 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5073 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.3651
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8724

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was May, with a trading range of 0.3268 KES (High: 5.6908 / Low: 5.3640). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0592 KES (High: 5.7712 / Low: 5.7120).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.3268
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0592

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0140 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0140

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2017: 6.0016) against the same month in 2016 (average: 5.0781), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9235 (+18.19%).

2017 Avg (December) 6.0016
2016 Avg (December) 5.0781

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.2101 5.1321 5.1711
February 5.2363 5.1538 5.1962
March 5.3138 5.1218 5.2237
April 5.3944 5.2831 5.3501
May 5.6908 5.3640 5.5667
June 5.7376 5.6468 5.6830
July 5.7712 5.7120 5.7344
August 5.8272 5.7587 5.7944
September 5.8806 5.7668 5.8377
October 6.0190 5.8592 5.9402
November 6.0259 5.8648 5.9262
December 6.0533 5.9635 6.0016